AAP EXPECTED TO SWEEP DELHI POLLS: WHAT WENT WRONG FOR BJP? (II)

THE QUESTIONS

After the Exit Poll results on February 7, the day of voting..

1. Did keeping on postponing Delhi polls for so long help AAP regain the lost ground after Kejriwal’s ‘deserter act’ leaving Delhi just after 49 days of governance to pursue the national political agenda?

2. Did BJP fail in exploiting electorally the ‘deserter act episode’? Did the party fail in convincing Delhi’s electorate that Kejriwal did something so seriously wrong that he was not to be forgiven for another chance?

3. Was BJP over-confident and was caught off-guard to take on challenges when the Abhinandan Rally of January 10 to launch BJP’s Delhi campaign (with Narendra Modi being the face of the rally) failed to bring the expected number of people to Ramlila Ground?

4. Did an Arvind Kejriwal-focused campaigning help Kejriwal cement his position further? Kejriwal was already the most popular CM candidate and an all-out attack on him while he chose not to respond to the personal attacks looks to have backfired.

5. Was the decision to induct Kiran Bedi in BJP was taken too late? The reports of Kiran Bedi joining BJP had been doing rounds since before the Lok Sabha polls and Kiran Bedi had been praising prime minister Narendra Modi on his every move. Would an earlier induction have played out differently for BJP and Kiran Bedi in Delhi?

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey–https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

FIRST THOUGHTS ON DELHI EXIT POLLS

The averaged outcome Delhi Exit Polls – giving Aam Aadmi Party a clear majority is, no doubt, bad for Bhartiya Janata Party – but is good for Indian democracy – if AAP indeed wins on February 10, when the votes cast for the Delhi assembly polls 2015 would be counted. Going by the average of Exit Polls today (nine of them), AAP is projected to win around 40 seats while BJP is going to restrict at around 28 seats. Congress is totally decimated.

It’s not that AAP is beyond doubts. In fact there are reasonable doubts that the party needs to prove wrong, but the way some of its spokespersons were speaking or rather bragging about the projected victory on different news channels today, was not good – is not a healthy sign.

But AAP’s win is certainly good for the democratic checks and balances that say no one is sacrosanct, that demand that no particular brand is beyond the risks of refusal, that lay down that no single party should win every election, that rule that there need to be the centres of power in the federal structure of Indian democracy and those centres of power must keep on changing hands.

And even AAP needs to remember it – if it has to expand beyond Delhi, but the time is not now. It should not forget the humiliation that it got in the Lok Sabha polls that owed its origin to AAP’s selfish and unethical moves then, that forced Arvind Kejriwal to keep on apologizing for a year, for deserting Delhi, for betraying the trust people shown in him.

If AAP wins on Tuesday, Arvind Kejriwal must follow the lessons that forced him ‘to accept his mistake and offer apology’ otherwise – ‘no one is politically and electorally sacrosanct and everyone can be shown the door in a democracy like India’.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey–https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/