IRAN TALKS: GOOD NEWS, FINALLY, FROM LAUSANNE

According to the inputs so far, a big global event was just sealed.

Based on the confirmed leads from Iran’s foreign minister Javad Zarif and the European Union’s foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini, it can be said another global event like thaw in US-Cuba relations is in making.

But its effects are expected to be far-reaching in an integrated global economy where oil diplomacy plays a crucial role.

Federica Mogherini first tweeted the ‘good news’ over an hour ago – Final Ministerial Plenary of these #IranTalks. Now going to meet the press with @JZarif. Good news (@FedericaMog)

AFP picked it up and broke the news on its Twitter feed – #BREAKING ‘Good news’, EU diplomat tweets on Iran talks (@AFP)

Javad Zarif added to the good news few minutes later – Found solutions. Ready to start drafting immediately. (@JZarif)

Retweeting Mr. Zarif, Hassan Rouhani, the Iranian President, gave us the further much needed details – Solutions on key parameters of Iran #nuclear case reached. Drafting to start immediately, to finish by June 30th. #IranTalks (@HassanRouhani)

The US Department of State put its stamp on the breakthrough in Iran nuclear talks saying it would soon announce time of John Secretary’s statement – Secretary @JohnKerry’s remarks from Switzerland on #IranTalks to be streamed live on state.gov. Update on timing soon. (@StateDept)

Iran’s nuclear programme, a contentious issue that has engaged the world powers and has seen some 25 rounds of talks held since October 2009, is on the verge of coming to a conclusion it seems now.

It would be interesting to know how it unfolds – that what are the essential elements of the bargain that could finally find a way out of a deadlock – that could open a new chapter in the world economy.

The information so far tells us the negotiating parties have reached at the illusive consensus and the elements have to documented now with a deadline of June 30.

Let’s see what John Kerry says further on the fine-print on the framework finalized during the talks in Lausanne, Switzerland. His tweets show his level of satisfaction after a task brilliantly performed – Big day: #EU, P5+1, and #Iran now have parameters to resolve major issues on nuclear program. Back to work soon on a final deal. HUGE thanks to our terrific team of U.S. diplomats and experts. Simply could not do #IranTalks without them (@JohnKerry)

And obviously, President Barack Obama would also speak on it as the White House tweeted 25 minutes ago – BREAKING: President Obama will deliver a statement on Iran at 2:15pm ET → (@WhiteHouse)

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

IIMMCI – THE PAGETURNERS OF THE 21ST CENTURY – GEOPOLITICS

Let’s try looking at the past while positioning the thinking in the future. Let’s fast forward to the 22nd Century to look back at the 21st Century on what would make for the biggest pageturning events based on the present day formations making for the engrossing reads.

So, on January 1, 2101 – first day of the second Century of the third Millennium – what were the pageturners of the 21st Century – when we look back to sift through the events and literatures written.

Let’s look back at the ‘geopolitical events’ of this developing list (and not in strict order certainly):

Most interesting pageturners of the 21st Century in Geopolitics –

1. How China became a free democratic country and a free market economy

2. How Hong Kong won it’s freedom from the mainland China

3. How China and Taiwan became friendly nations and neighbours with China recognising Taiwan’s sovereignty

4. How Japan became China’s largest trade and military partner

5. How Russia got out from the grip of Vladimir Putin and became an ideal democratic society

6. How Cuba became a free democracy and a multi-party system

7. How America became Cuba’s largest trade partner

8. How Capitalism finally won the war with Communism

9. How did the oil economy collapsed giving new dimensions to the oil politics

10. How Arab Spring won its beginning, following by massive losses, to emerge finally a winner

More coming, you may also suggest.. 🙂

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey–https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

#CHARLIEHEBDO AND #BOKOHARAMKILLED2000PEOPLE HAPPENED ON THE SAME DAY, THIS WEDNESDAY!

Geopolitics is always skewed and social media is no exception.

Charlie Hebdo attack rightly outraged us. The intensity of shock is still fresh and it cannot be said when the process of reconciliation would begin as the crime took three days to wind up, with reports saying the suspects were killed just now (10 PM India Time). And to add to the intimidating chaos, Paris has seen two more shootouts, one yesterday, killing a policewoman, and one today, where gunmen took hostages in a Paris suburb grocery store. Now, three gunmen are dead, and going by the reports, a woman, suspected to be with the grocery store gunman, has been able to escape. Reports also say that she is ‘heavily armed’.

The events unfolding in Paris, still not clear, have the global media and audiences hooked.

Meanwhile, a crime of a much bigger scale was being perpetrated in Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy, crying for our attention.

But countless incidents of crimes against humanity in so-called uncivilized or third-world countries where dictators prowling or where sectarian warlords decide which way the wind would blow are not given even the passing mentions.

On Wednesday, when Charlie Hebdo attack happened, yet another Boko Haram massacre was in making in Nigerian town Baga.

The official reports said of 100 dead initially but the town was completely torched and even if most of the residents had fled before the Boko Haram’s assault, the unofficial consensus, that is more accurate than the official sources, was of thousands of dead.

But, apart from routine news reports, coverage and hence the audience engagement didn’t go further. As expected, there were no consolidated, campaigned expressions of outage and no runs of solidarity to mobilize the opinion on social media platforms.

Yes, the obvious differentiators were obviously there.

The Charlie Hebdo attack took place in Paris, one of the global cities, world’s fashion capital and the capital city of France, one of the major global powers, an advanced economy and a permanent member of the UN Security Council. And the reason, as shouted by the terrorists, was to avenge the ‘blasphemous’ acts, the Prophet cartoons by the Charlie Hebdo cartoonists, all of them killed in the Wednesday massacre.

So, it was about a controversial issue, terrorism in the name of Islam, being debated the world over with its increasing spread and brutality, and it was logistically within reach of media outfits. And in a globally connected world, soon it was the world over, in real time.

There were elements to keep the audiences hooked to the TV sets and Internet platforms – armed terrorists killing 10 journalists and two policemen in Paris – they flee then and disappear with tens of thousands of security personnel mapping roads and leads – they reappear and disappear and reappear –meanwhile more shootouts happen – and then hostages are taken – all being covered and watched in real time – the world over.

While Boko Haram massacre targeted a Nigerian town that most would not have heard of. Historically, Nigeria’s ethnic clashes have killed thousands and have displaced millions. And Boko Haram is latest in the series.

There cannot be media outfits there to report in areas of Boko Haram control and reach and that is logical. When bodies are lying there rotting and no one is able to go there to dispose them, it is difficult for reporters to reach there and carry out a detailed assessment to let the world see and realize the scale of horror. And there was no one in pursuit of Boko Haram, unlike in France where the whole state machinery was involved.

We had live, moving images with incidents in France while we had none in case of Nigerian massacre. But didn’t we have the numbers?

Yes, the two cannot be compared and we should not. A tragedy taking away human lives cannot have a degree, irrespective of the numbers.

But what when we have astronomically high numbers – as has been reported about Boko Haram massacre in Baga?

Shouldn’t it make us numb to react on first mention so as to react more expressively – thousands shot dead and their bodies rotting?

Shouldn’t it agitate us to discuss it and make more and more of the world aware of it?

No world leader tweeted on it. We didn’t hear the United Nations making a formal statement on it. We didn’t know if the White House released statement condemning it.

Since 1998, some 30,000 Nigerians, human beings like you and me, have been killed in the social violence, a report by The Nigeria Social Violence Project says. The report puts the toll over 11000 since July 2009 when Boko Haram started its military offensive. This excludes the Baga massacre and many others not covered in the report.

Boko Haram Violence-1Graphic courtesy: The Nigeria Social Violence Project (African Studies Program at Johns Hopkins SAIS)

#CharlieHebdo, #JeSuisCharlie and #ParisShooting are trending but #BokoHaram and #BokoHaramKilled2000People must also trend.

I am in full solidarity with #JeSuisCharlie and #CharlieHebdo but #BokoHaram just killed thousands. Cry people, cry.

France’s tribute dimmed Eiffel Tower for #CharlieHebdo. I did not sleep the night sleeping in my tribute to the thousands of nameless victims of Boko Haram massacre who had a name and address till this Wednesday.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey–https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

SCALING ‘GOODNESS’ OF A COUNTRY!

Good Country Index or Goodness of Nations – the link in the Facebook news feed arrested the attention for a while, much on the line of some interesting daily charts of ‘The Economist’ that regularly appear on the wall of users – though the urge to click and read further is arbitrary – like most of the social media habits are.

I clicked it, unsure of, if I would be redirected to the article page or to the subscription page as I had crossed my limit of free articles for the duration (that I still don’t have any idea about).

Also, I do not have any idea if the norm applies to every linked ‘The Economist’ piece on Facebook as I do not visit Facebook regularly and do no click on every link from The Economist. But I thought I could have headway into looking more on it as few lines of the attached description told me it was a chart from a study done by some other agency.

Good Countries Index 1

Good Country Index chart from The Economist

On Facebook, the first pull was about looking at to see how India was ranked. The Economist chart of the Good Country Index had top 10 and bottom 10 countries stacked from the Good Country Index study website. The list ranked 1 to 125 with 1 being the best and 125 being the worst on the index devised to map the countries’ responsibility to the humanity globally and how much they take from it.

The chart in The Economist link had no mention of India in the overall rank column and in any other column except in ‘Prosperity & Equality’ head where it was ranked 117.

Logically, I had not expected India, a country with over 1.2 billion people with resource crunch and social inequality to handle and manage, in top-10 in a study that focuses how a country contributes outside its environs to help enrich and nurture the humanity.

But India’s 117th place on parameters like ‘Prosperity & Equality’ demanded more understanding of the index – of its utility and of its flaws.

And I went further to read more about the Good Country Index on its website and about Simon Anholt and about India’s overall ranking (81st).

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/