YADAVS’ FIRST FAMILY: A CARTOONIST’S DELIGHT :)

Well, that is exactly what has happened with recent events – developments, statements and even silence – everything gives an interesting sense of déjà vu. Everything has happened as it was thought to be – but with loads of moments that are pure delight for any cartoonist with an eye for political humour and satire.

We can say,

PAL MEIN TOLA PAL MEIN MASHA, KITNE RANG BADALTE HAIN.

SOMETIMES THEY PLAY FAST. SOMETIMES THEY PLAY LOOSE. HOW MANY COLOURS THEY CHANGE?

Or

(SOMETIMES IT PLAYS FAST. SOMETIMES IT PLAYS LOOSE. HOW MANY COLOURS IT CHANGES?)

Any which way you want to say 🙂

Or we can say,

A FAMILY THAT SPARS TOGETHER, SPEARS TOGETHER.

Or we can say,

A FAMILY THAT PRAYS TOGETHER, AFFRAYS TOGETHER.

Or we can say,

A FAMILY THAT PLAYS TOGETHER, DISPLAYS IT TOGETHER.

Or we can the staple one 🙂 🙂

A FAMILY..THAT DISAGREES TO DISAGREE.

muakhishiv-1

(CARTOON BY RAGINI CHAUBEY)

YADAVS’ FIRST FAMILY: A CARTOONIST’S DELIGHT 🙂

©SantoshChaubey

WHICH WAY MULAYAM WOULD GO TODAY?

So, yesterday was a day of intense drama, revenge sackings, letter wars and war of words in the ongoing family feud in Uttar Pradesh’s first family to wrest the power. And today could be even more fiery, even more spiteful, even more dramatic, even more shocking, depending on which way Mulayam decides to go, and in turn, depending on that, which way Akhilesh would go.

Let’s do some wise (wild guessing).

This morning when Mulayam Singh Yadav will speak on the controversy after meeting his party’s MLAs and MLCs, it will have the hangover of the meeting of the day and of the developments yesterday we can say.

Will Mulayam speak his mind irrespective of which way the meetings goes, with Akhilesh’s power display or Shivpal’s show of loyalty?

Or his final word will become final after he assesses the mood in his party – that who carries more weight now – Akhilesh or Shivpal?

Whatever happens, one things is sure that it will write the next chapter in the script of the Samajwadi Party family feud.

Harm has to happen. Votes will split. Irrespective of which way Mulayam decides to go. What he can hope at best – that the repercussions will not last long.

And one thing – Mulayam is not going to replace Akhilesh with himself as UP’s next CM.

©SantoshChaubey

A WORSE SEPTEMBER 13 REDUX: AKHILESH SACKS UNCLE SHIVPAL THIS TIME

Going a step further this time, Uttar Pradesh chief minister Akhilesh Yadav has sacked his uncle and the most senior minister of his cabinet, Shivpal Yadav, who is also the state president of his Samajwadi Party, the ruling political outfit of UP led by Mulayam Singh Yadav, a position that previously Akhilesh held.

This time, it is a worse sort of split.

Last time, on September 13, Akhilesh had, first sacked the UP chief secretary Deepak Singhal, considered close to Shivpal, and then had stripped Shivpal of his entire ministerial portfolio (but had not sacked him).

Protesting this, in a late night drama, on September 15, Shivpal had resigned from both positions, as the SP’s UP state president and as UP’s cabinet minister. Amar Singh was being relentlessly targeted by Akhilesh supporters for creating this havoc in the party.

Next day, on September 16, Mulayam had rejected Shivpal’s resignation. Led by Mulayam, the party patriarch, Akhilesh’s father and Shivpal’s brother, a deal sort of arrangement was brokered and it was announced from Akhilesh’s office that Shivpal and the controversial UP minister Gayatri Prajapati, close to Shivpal, would be reinstated and Shivpal would be given back his portfolios.

Now that today, on October 23, 45 days after September 13, Akhilesh has gone a step further and has sacked Shivpal Yadav from his ministerial berth, as well three others including Jaya Prada (Amar Singh confidante), vocally targeting Amar Singh this time, we can gauge the obvious fact that it was just a temporary arrangement last month which had came at the cost of humiliating Akhilesh’s self-respect. So there doesn’t arise any question of Shivpal’s resignation now. He has been shown the door in clear, unequivocal terms this time.

There was never a ‘peace’ deal. After Shivpal was reinstated, he did everything that he could to downsize Akhilesh’s stature – sacking/expelling people from the SP who were seen close to Akhilesh, replacing names who were seen as Akhilesh Yadav’s people from the party’s list of candidates for the upcoming UP assembly polls and successfully reengineering Quami Ekta Dal’s (QED) merger into the SP fold which was foiled by Akhilesh in June as the QED is seen a front for the dreaded gangster Mukhtar Ansari.

So, what Akhilesh has done today was waiting to happen.

Akhilesh, on his part, has said that he will not leave the SP and will purge everyone who is seen close to Amar Singh.

But a vertical split is the most likely outcome in these circumstances.

If Mulayam continues with the stand he had taken last month, Akhilesh will be forced to find his own separate way.

Can Mulayam replace Akhilesh as UP CM, as Shivpal supporters have been demanding, when elections are just three-four months away?

Is Mulayam still confident enough that it is he in whose name people vote for the SP?

If Mulayam favours his son this time, Shivpal Yadav is expected to cause a vertical split in the party.

And whatever has to happen will happen soon as the UP assembly polls are just around the corner where the SP, with a huge anti-incumbency, is pitted against two formidable foes, the BJP whom the first round of opinion polls have shown winning the state, and the BSP, a favourite of analysts this time to win the polls – with its Dalit-Muslim social engineering.

©SantoshChaubey

TODAY’S COMING TOGETHER OF JANATA PARIVAR HAS TO BE SEEN IN THIS CONTEXT..

It is a ‘parivar’ where family members want to maintain their own homes, their own signs and their own identities. And while wanting to do so, the resourceful of them want to impose what they are, on others, expecting that others would follow the suit.

Unlike a family, they are still together, waiting for the signs to emerge that who can claim the stewardship, who can push for the symbol and who can draw the identity mileage.

That is the story of ‘Janata Parivar’, a group of six political outfits – Samajwadi Party (SP), Janata Dal-United (JDU), Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Om Prakash Chautala’s Indian National Lok Dal (INLD), H. D. Devegowda’s Janata Del-Secular (JDS) and Samajwadi Janata Party (SJP), the party of former prime minister Chandashekhar – that trace their origin the once relevant Janata Dal (JD).

The three most important parties of this ‘Parivar’ are from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, the two Hindi heartland states with huge populations and therefore powerful legislative equation at state level and in Parliament.

UP has the SP government where elections are due in early 2017 and Akhilesh Yadav’s government will be facing huge anti-incumbency. JDS is limited only to Karnataka, INLD to Haryana. SJP is just in records. It doesn’t exist politically. Bihar has the JDU government. Elections are due in the state in few months and JDU is finding it difficult to fight to retain the chief-minister’s chair in spite of the development claims by its Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. The RJD, that has ruled the state for many year, is fighting the survival battle after court-conviction of Lalu Prasad Yadav. Except the JD(U), all these parties are family businesses, run like that only.

And all these parties are facing threat of being pushed out of power or being made irrelevant by the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP). The BJP’s clear mandate in Lok Sabha elections, its sweeping performance in UP and Bihar and its impressive victories in states like Haryana, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, among others, created a challenge before the political spectrum to handle what was facing them.

Political parties including Congress are answering it with their own devised methods. These parties opted to merge under the banner of the JD to present a formidable front that was strong enough to take on the BJP, even if they had taken separate routes to promote personal egos and personal interests.

Lalu and Nitish have been long-time rivals in Bihar and the RJD’s ‘jungleraj’ used to be main campaigning plank of Nitish Kumar and the BJP. That was until the BJP was in alliance with the JDU. Now, Lalu and Nitish are together, and are the main targets of the BJP.

Well, we never expected Indian politics to play out ethical games. Every outfit is engaged in taking pragmatic moves to further political interests, including political survival.

Today’s announcement by the ‘Janata Parivar’ of ‘contesting Bihar polls together’ is an extension of those efforts.

We heard a long ago that these six outfits, having their origin in the JD, would merge and form a new party. As expected, nothing has moved on this front. There are issues like ‘name and symbol’ of the new outfit. Obviously, the party with strongest electoral presence will leverage the position better. Outcome of the Bihar polls will be a logical way to assess that. If Nitish makes a comeback, the decision will shift to the UP polls (as expected). If the JDU doesn’t perform well in these polls, the SP may gain the upper hand.

So, it’s a wait and watch game – for them, for other political folks..and for us.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

THOUGHTS AFTER ‘PROPOSED’ DISPLAY OF BONHOMIE TO REVIVE JANATA DAL (1)

THE QUESTIONS

FIRST THOUGHTS ON ‘PROPOSED’ BONHOMIE TO REVIVE JANATA DAL
https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/2014/12/04/first-thoughts-on-proposed-bonhomie-to-revive-janata-dal/

1. Why the name Samajwadi Janata Dal? Only to placate the parties involved (Samajwadi Party, Janata Dal United, Rashtriya Janata Dal, Janata Dal Secular, Indian National Lok Dal, Samajwadi Janata Party)!

2. Why not Janata Dal? Are the technical issues involved, if any, so nagging?  After all, irrespective of it’s political fate so far, the name is well entrenched in the Indian psyche.

3. Nitish Kumar quoted ‘ideology’ behind the unification move. If Janata Dal, formed in 1988, indeed had any ideology and if that ideology is the reason behind this latest effort, would it not be logical to come under the political symbolism of the name Janata Dal?

4. A new name, trying to get its validity from a so-called old ideology, and trying to justify the move with it – doesn’t it justify that the Janata Dal formed by V. P. Singh in October 1988 – with people from parties of different ideologies and purposes (including V . P. Singh himself) – had no ideology of it’s own and was an opportunist coming together of people to score on political front?

5. Moving on from the name, even if we go by the logic of ‘in the name of ideology’, how can it keep the parties together when it miserably failed in its original avatar?

6. Will the ‘warring’ factions (parties) of the Janata Parivar be able to put aside their differences (even if counting in the upcoming wedding of Mulayam’s nephew with Lalu’s daughter) given the fact that history of Janata Dal is replete with split after split, beginning in 1990, within two years of it’s formation, with as recent as in 2010?

7. What is the difference this time that can work in its favour?

8. Isn’t it a desperate call to survive in the Narendra Modi era of politics, that, after winning the Lok Sabha and assembly polls comprehensively, is looking poised to win Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, the two states run by the ‘big daddy’ constituents of the old Janata Dal with a new name now, if at all an officially unified entity is born with its own election symbol?

9. Going with the political reality of the day, the state oriented element looks logical. But on projecting nationally, the bonhomie looks firmly fragile with three big prime-ministerial ambitions – Mulayam Singh Yadav, Nitish Kumar and Lalu Yadav (even if he is legally forced out of active politics at the moment – yes, the daughter factor may lead him to side with Mulayam in case he is not in the race). Shouldn’t we look at the window that shows the relevance and the future of the formation in context of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar assembly polls only?

10. With just 15 Lok Sabha and 30 Rajya Sabha MPs and presence in just four states, will they be able to project the identity of the ‘unified’ or the ‘new entity’ nationally?

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey –https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

FIRST THOUGHTS ON ‘PROPOSED’ BONHOMIE TO REVIVE JANATA DAL

THE QUESTIONS

1. Janata Dal to be revived again – a desperate call to survive or a craving to fill the void of the ideological vacuum that the numerous divisions of the party caused or a well thought political bonhomie to capitalize on the political currency of the different parties under one umbrella?

2. If a desperate call to survive in the Narendra Modi era of Indian politics, will the ‘warring’ factions of the Janata Parivar be able to put aside their differences and clash of egos, as evident so far while going by the political history of Janata Dal?

3. Would the name Janata Dal be sanctified again or would we see extended deliberations over it?

4. If intended so, if at all, how would the exercise be given an ideological makeover?

5. Before the name (or even after it), would naming the leader of the unified parties be the main contention?

6. Who would be the big daddy of all – Uttar Pradesh and Bihar? Samajwadi Party with its government in Uttar Pradesh and Janata Dal (United) with its government in Bihar are equally poised to call the shots.

7. Shouldn’t we expect a name right now as the prime-ministerial ambitions have no space to raise heads at the moment? Parliamentary elections are over four years away and BJP is on a strong pitch with complete numbers on its own.

8. What would be the immediate goal of this unified entity or the revived Janata Dal?

9. Who will be the convenor or the coordinator to manage the personalities like Mulayam Singh Yadav, Lalu Yadav and Nitish Kumar, the three names with ‘strong’ prime-ministerial ambitions or H. D. Deve Gowda, a former prime minister?

10. Would this ‘revived Janata Dal’ see further revival with more factions (or parties or people) of the erstwhile Janata Dal coming to join it?

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/