CRIMEAN COUP: SCARY, ISN’T IT?

Ukraine crisis: Order breaks down ahead of Crimea vote – BBC
Ukraine leaders vow not to cede land; Russia tightens grip on Crimea – Los Angeles Times
Is Vladimir Putin acting like Hitler? – The Washington Post
Ukraine crisis: Merkel, US warn Putin of Crimea annexation – CBC News
Russian Forces Gain in Ukraine as Separatist Vote Looms – Bloomberg
Ukraine crisis: Chinese president Xi Jinping urges US to show restraint – The Guardian

The latest headlines on the crisis in Ukraine or on Russian act of aggression in Ukraine or the Crimean crisis – a crisis the fate of which looks increasingly settled down in favour of the aggressor

Imperialist expansionism (and the efforts thus – though thwarted) was never dead in global geopolitics. Border controversies and territorial claims have continued unabated. But such orchestrations by a dictator who is one of the most powerful persons in the world and who exercises absolute control over one of the mightiest security establishments with a nuclear arsenal that can wipe out the humanity multiple times from the face of the Earth!!

Scary, isn’t it?

Are we going to go back to the days of realignments of national allegiances and redrawing of nations’ boundaries as happened in the aftermaths of first and second World Wars or during the Cold War?

Yes, writing that is premature and certainly in a globalized world that runs on the borderless world of global economy, the conditions are not conducive for Mr. Putin (and the dictators like him) to practice expansionism as a policy tool.

But it is also equally true that nothing can stop the dictators on thinking and dreaming on such lines.

And when an incident like a hostile aggression of a sovereign nation’s territory ignoring the global outrage against it, like the case of Crimea is going to be, happens so easily, almost like a bloodless (or even if it goes violent – something that doesn’t look like even a distant possibility) coup (yes, it is a coup), it gives dictators wings to go to the next step of their expansionist dreams, irrespective of the ‘geopolitical feasibility’ of that next step.

Crimea is certainly in for Russia. How is it going to shape the Vladimir Putin of the future?

Finding answer to it becomes all the more important by his increasingly visible pro-tyranny, anti-democracy and ant-humanity stand as Russians are experiencing it, as the dying Syrians are witnessing it.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

VLADIMIR PUTIN CAN’T DEFLECT HIS CRIMEA AGGRESSION PLOY BY PLAYING AROUND ‘LEGITIMACY’ DEBATE

COUNTERPOINT

Vladimir Putin – Tuesday, March 4, 2014

– While commenting on crisis in Ukraine and global community’s outrage over Russian act of militarily controlling Crimea, a small autonomous region of Ukraine with Russians forming almost 58 per cent of the population of Crimea

“We are often told our actions are illegitimate,” he said. “But when I ask, ‘Do you think everything you do is legitimate?’ they say yes. Our partners, especially in the United States, always clearly formulate their own geopolitical and state interests and follow them with persistence,” he said, making specific reference to U.S. actions in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya. “Then, using the principle ‘You’re either with us or against us,’ they draw the whole world in. And those who do not join in get beaten until they do.”

– The Washington Post

Putin decries the US worldview of conducting the geopolitics, blames Uncle Sam for events in Afghanistan, Libya, and Iraq and elsewhere the US and its associates are involved, and blames the US and the affiliates of following and perpetuating the double standards.

True, there can be and there are agreeable points in these counterpoints of Mr. Putin. But what lacerate Mr. Putin’s arguments are the facts that none of them, to be blamed by him, are dictators like him, and none of the world powers, alleged by him, are sham democracies, like Russia has become under him.

What also punctures Mr. Putin’s argument here is – he is trying to justify his act of dictatorial aggression of a sovereign nation’s territory – that like his country Russia, is a member of the United Nations, the global body supposed to maintain the international order of peace and stability – by comparing it with the events (or the interventions led by the US and its associates) aimed at overthrowing dictators (like and unlike him) and terrorist regimes.

Yes, it has been a matter of concern that these international interventions couldn’t bring stability in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya but that can never be a pretext for Mr. Putin to justify his expansionist thoughts.

But, we all know, Mr. Putin doesn’t care. In fact, no dictator cares.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/

WHAT CRIMEA COULD BECOME?

Crimea would be. Crimea would not be.

What Crimea could become.

Whether the tiny Ukrainian region with predominantly Russian ethnicity (58% Russian, 24% Ukrainian) becomes a flashpoint for a regional war or a precursor to a full blown global war theatre or an event that would herald a new era of cold war that will have camps dividing the world again, it’s all in the rapidly developing story around Putin and Putinism, now beyond Russia.

A flashpoint needs factors to be placed at different cornerstone loci to become inflicting in its damaging effects. While the placement of the factors is a must, no one can predict about the time-frame of its eruption.

What Crimea would become has its answers in the immediate future with the Crimean Parliament’s decision to join the Russian Federation emboldening Putinim to sharpen its fangs. Putin (and therefore, Russia) is all set to annex Crimea and the response by the concerned big and small daddies of the world order has failed to act as an effective deterrent.

The meek response of the global community including its major powers and superpower to the crude and strong military overtures of Putin militarily cordoning off Crimea taking its effective control even before the symbolic overtures of the Crimean Parliament vote or the proposed referendum on joining Russia on March 16 tells us Crimea could very well become the next distressing signal of the global geopolitical stability.

Because Putin is a strongheaded dictator who exercises his ruthless and unquestioned control over one of the strongest military and nuclear forces in the world.

First Syria, and now Crimea – Putinim can be much more demanding if left unchecked.

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey – https://santoshchaubey.wordpress.com/